Well, it certainly is an exciting time to be a Notre Dame fan. After an undefeated season, the Irish have earned the right to play in the national semi-final. In the build-up to the game, much has been made of the matchup between Notre Dame’s offense and Clemson’s defense. Clemson will be the best defense Notre Dame has faced to this point. That begs the question, how will the Notre Dame coaching staff game plan so they can move the ball against the Tigers? I have a few thoughts on the topic. Let’s take a look at the film and I’ll show you what I mean.
The first thing that stands out when you watch the Clemson defense is their lineman. They literally have an NFL defensive line. Although potentially losing star defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence hurts, this is still a formidable group. No matter how well Notre Dame plays and/or game plans, the Tiger defensive line is going to be a significant problem.
Not to fear though Notre Dame fans, there are some exploitable weaknesses in the Tiger defense. In particular, their linebackers and safeties tend to be over aggressive and can be undisciplined. This results in gaps opening up about 10 – 12 yards deep in the middle of the defense.
To take advantage of this flaw, I believe Notre Dame has to attack the off-tackle and perimeter areas first (noted in the yellow text). This will allow Notre Dame to minimize the impact of the Tiger defensive line (essentially by avoiding them) and encourage the linebackers and safeties to move aggressively towards the line of scrimmage. This movement will open up space between the linebackers and safeties (black text) which is the biggest weakness in the Clemson defense. Let’s take a look at a couple of examples of this weakness.
Clemson vs. Texas A&M. The Aggies will run play action (red line and arrow in the backfield) and look to hit the post pattern (red arrow) if the safety comes up (orange arrow). Even though it’s first down, note how tight the linebackers are to the line of scrimmage (orange circle). These guys love to creep up to play the run.
Sure enough, the safety took the bait (orange arrow) and is coming up aggressively to play run. The linebackers also play the run (orange circle). The receiver is going to run to the spot vacated by the over-aggressive safety (red arrow).
The ball is just about to be caught (red circle). The middle of the field is wide open because the safety and linebackers sold out to stop the run (orange circle).
Clemson vs. South Carolina. Clemson dials up a bit of an exotic look where they rush 3 linemen, 1 linebacker and drop a defensive end into coverage (orange lines). The dropping linebacker (orange circle) is the key player here.
A fraction of a second after the snap. The linebacker has dropped into coverage and is in very good position (orange circle). All he has to do is get a little more depth, move to the inside and follow the QB’s eyes to the intended receiver (red circle).
For some reason, the linebacker (orange circle) doesn’t follow the QB’s eyes and completely ignores the receiver (red arrow). Instead, he becomes mesmerized by the running back on the swing pattern to the outside (red star). He overpursues and ends up right beside another defender (orange circle, orange arrow). This leaves the middle of the field wide open. The ball is on the way (red circle) and will be caught for a first down.
Although I’ve only provided two examples here, this was a trend I saw repeatedly. Over-aggressive, undisciplined play from the linebackers and safeties led to exploitable seams in the middle of the defense. I’ve heard a number of times that Clemson’s safeties are a potential weakness. I would argue it’s a little more nuanced than that. I believe the way that the safeties and linebackers integrate their pass coverage is Clemson’s biggest weakness on defense. Often, the linebackers are way too aggressive and end up attacking the line of scrimmage on passes, which leaves a large gap about 10 -12 yards deep in the middle of the defense.
From a game plan perspective, one of the things I think Notre Dame will try to do is run off-tackle. This avoids the interior of the Tiger defensive line and also allows Notre Dame to get additional blockers in the off-tackle area through the formation. I think getting extra blockers at the edge of the formation is going to be critical; the Clemson defensive ends are no joke. They will need to be double-teamed if Notre Dame wants to get to the edge.
This screenshot is an example of the type of alignment I think Notre Dame will use to run off tackle. Motion a tight end across the formation (blue arrow) and have a number of blockers in the off-tackle area (yellow circle). From there, let your stud running back. Dexter Williams (#2) run downhill (green arrow).
This type of formation is going to make Clemson’s linebackers and safeties salivate like Pavlov’s dog. Without thinking, they will attack the line of scrimmage and on occasion will be able to stuff the run. However, they will be falling into a trap. Much like the kids mocking Elisha in 2 Kings 2:23-24, there will be a reckoning for aggressive behaviour. (As an aside, if you are a long time reader of this blog, I suggest you look that passage up, you will find it to be a marvelous biblical tip of the cap to the strange narratives formed on this blog over many years. I would love to take credit for finding this wonderful passage, however, I must confess it was our very own Firstdownmoses that made me aware of this little gem. Enjoy).
If Notre Dame can entice the Clemson linebackers and safeties to overreact to the off-tackle run, the play action pass will be wide open. I’m just guessing on the pattern combination highlighted in this screenshot, but this would be the sort of complimentary play a team could use against aggressive safeties and linebackers. Fake the off-tackle run (green arrow), first read would be one of the inside patterns (yellow and red arrows), the second read would be to the outside (blue or orange arrows).
If Clemson can stop the run by relying almost exclusively on the defensive line, the linebackers and safeties won’t need to be so aggressive and this play isn’t as effective. If Notre Dame can have a bit of success running off-tackle, the linebackers and safeties will start to come up and if they do that, they can be exploited.
Another way Notre Dame will attack the off-tackle and perimeter is through their version of the triple option as noted in the screenshot above. I suspect we will have to emphasize option 2 and 3 initially as it will be tough sledding running between the tackles (although, for the record, I don’t think we should abandon running between the tackles entirely). Again, if the Irish can have success with this type of play, it will force the Tiger linebackers and safeties to come up towards the line of scrimmage, which leaves them vulnerable to passes in the middle of the field 10-12 yards deep.
I anticipate Notre Dame will use a variety of looks beyond the R.P.O. (run, pass option) and the off-tackle play I’ve detailed here to get to the edge. I suspect we’ll see jet sweeps, screens, swing passes and maybe even some old school toss plays or a bit of speed option.
While watching film I’ve noticed that when Clemson is struggling with the perimeter, they will adjust their defensive alignment. This adjustment opens some other opportunities for the Irish offense to run between the tackles. See below for a specific example.
1st down against Texas A&M. Clemson is in its standard 4 man front (3 down lineman and one stand up end). However, they are going to make a pre-snap adjustment and use the stand-up end (orange circle) to help on the outside.
The Tigers move their defensive end (orange circle) to the perimeter. This leaves only 3 Clemson defensive linemen (orange lines) between the tackles. Clemson is playing with fire with this type of alignment. No doubt, their D-line is good, but all Dexter Williams needs is a crease to break a long run and there is certainly the potential for creating a crease against this alignment.
Final Thoughts
Clemson’s defense is really good, especially their defensive line. If the Tiger defensive line dominates and the linebackers and safeties are allowed to be patient and play from depth, Notre Dame will be in a lot of trouble. However, if Notre Dame can entice the linebackers and safeties to come towards the line of scrimmage and play aggressive the Clemson defense can be exploited. Notre Dame has enough in the playbook to take advantage of Clemson’s weaknesses. The question is: can we execute the plays in the playbook at a high enough level to win? I’m looking forward to finding out. Go Irish!
Salut, Larz — thanks for a TERRIFIC analysis. Should be fascinating to see where Chip Long’s research and thought has left us.
Speaking of FirstDownMoses (who I devoutly hope is lurking around somewhere), upon re-reading that reference from 2 Kings which I had forgotten lo these many years (and now being of little hair on top myself I am doubly glad to be reminded), I can only note that Christian Wilkins wears number 42…
Thanks MN!!! Great observation about the number 42!! It’s all coming together. Go Irish!!!
You betcha. Cheer like crazy in Dallas. If you guys can help our team pull it out, I am on the way to Santa Cruz!
FDM was at the FSU game. He hung out with us at the HLS tailgate and introduced me to his brother. Very busy guy but I suspect he’s still reading from time to time.
Thanks for the update on FDM Clearwall!
A tad late, but I just saw your comment and yes, I am still very much alive! I know I haven’t actually written anything for the site in a long time, but that may change in the near future…I’m still active behind the scenes and I’m lurking on here, too. Hope you’re doing well! Are you still over in France?
Nice job Larz….is there anyway you can have your crayons ready to help Book with his pre snap reads? Seriously though, that will be one of the biggest questions answered in this game…Which of these young QB’s does the better job reading the opposing teams defense? Each is facing the best defense they’ve seen as well as going up against a very good Def.Coordinator who’s had time to get his defense ready. It should be very interesting.
Thanks!!! I’ll have the crayons ready, I’m going to Dallas to watch the game. I assume I will be invited into the booth or on the sidelines for a bear based pep talk for the team. I’ll have my crayons ready just in case!
Have a Blast…Bring em Luck!
You’re coming to the tailgate, yeah? Lot 12
Not sure what I’m doing for tailgating, but I’m in for lot 12, is it a specific group or just general ND fans?
My impression, and I’ve heard this on at least one podcast, is that Book doesn’t like or feel comfortable throwing over the middle. A gameplan that includes a lot of seams and posts doesn’t seem to play to his strengths. Then again, he’s had a bunch of practices to work on it and he might have to step out of his comfort zone for ND to win.
He has thrown a couple picks in those areas. He doesn’t seem to get fooled twice by the same look though.
It will be intersting to see. He can throw to that part of the field for sure. The TD pass to Claypool in the 3rd quarter bs Pitt is a perfect example. But that hasn’t been an area of strength for Book. I’d also like to see our TEs do some damage in that part of the field.
We’ve attacked that part of the field at times this year, but haven’t done so consistently. Fingers crossed we can get consistent this game!
Thanks Larz, outstanding, as usual!
I rewatched the USC game last night and wasn’t encouraged about our Oline, especially Kraemer and Eichenberg. The mostly backup USC Dline ate them up way too often. I will be pleasantly surprised if they can hold their own against Clemson. If they don’t, goodbye run game.
Another weakness is Mack. For a big, athletic guy, for some reason the first contact almost always brings him down, and he lets much smaller DBs and Safeties take the ball away from him too often. I’d rather see Kmet in at TE.
Well, guess we’ll know the answers in just over 48 hours. Fingers and toes crossed.
Happy New Year everyone.
My pleasure Kiwifan! Yeah our tackles will need to play well and they’ve been uh… inconsistent. That’s why I think we’ll need to give them some help on some run and pass plays. It will be interesting to watch
Their ends love to try to time the snap too; this could be another bit of aggressiveness we could take advantage of. I don’t think I remember us hitting a hard count all year, but if the crowd is 50/50 ND fans or better, it’s an option we might be able to use to slow them down a fraction of a second. At the very least, Book needs to vary his cadence when possible.
As for throwing to the middle of the field, most inexperienced QBs don’t like throwing there. Even many experienced QBs can struggle with it (Terrelle Pryor could have been the greatest college QB of my lifetime if he’d had the ability to use the whole field). But Book now has a season of starts under his belt, so I hope Long will encourage him to really open it up. And if he does make a bad read at some point, he needs to not let it discourage him. Clemson already has the ability to completely wipe the running game away from teams; we can’t afford to let them limit parts of the passing game as well.
Amen to that
If VividSeats metrics are to be believed, it’s going to be much more lopsided than 50-50. 75-25 or 80-20 pro ND
B drug test came back positive, taking a tiny bit of pressure off our Oline. They are definitely out Saturday