It’s officially spring and we are finally ready to unleash our review of the 2023 Notre Dame recruiting class. This was technically the first full recruiting cycle for Marcus Freeman (although with the early signing day and general accelerated nature of recruiting these days some may argue 2024 is the real first full cycle with players almost exclusively recruited by Freeman) and while there were some bright spots it certainly wasn’t the progress many had hoped for from a new coaching regime.
Now, a crucial 2024 looms large.
Irish Eyes Are…Frustrated?
I remember back when the transition from Brian Kelly to Marcus Freeman happened and continuity was such a major talking point. Whether that was important or not there was a hope that maybe Freeman could take the ball from his predecessor and bring things up a level through recruiting, while he ended up getting his feet more wet on the field.
Maybe it’s oversimplistic but it felt like a chance to take a shot at a high recruiting ceiling even if it meant some bumps in the road on the Saturday scoreboard.
Over a year later, Freeman’s acumen on the field has shown some cracks (I’m trying my best to forget Marshall and Stanford) although he’s shown himself to be a very good steward of the program with a still high ceiling as a football coach. Welcome to modern Notre Dame my friend, because the recruiting side of things has not been very easy.
However, I think it’s important not to color our frustration (some of it going back decades!) on this particular group of incoming student-athletes. We may think this class doesn’t move Notre Dame closer to a National Championship or playoff wins, but there’s still an awful lot to like.
Class Rankings by Service
247 Composite: 11th (19 four-stars, 4 three-stars, .9178 average rating)
247: 11th (22 four-stars, 5 three-stars, 1 two-star, 91.21 average rating) *
Rivals: 10th (19 four-stars, 4 three-stars, 3.83 average stars)
ESPN: Honestly, who cares at this point?
On3: 9th (18 four-stars, 5 three-stars, 92.23 average rating)
*247 includes transfers in their rankings now, which I don’t approve.Â
Let’s not sugar coat things. Although we knew Notre Dame wasn’t going to hold on forever, spending so much time as the No. 1 class (or really close to the top) only to fall all out of the top 10 in the Composite really stings. This program really seems incredibly allergic to finishing strong every recruiting cycle.
At least On3 kept the Irish in the single digits! They still have 2024 quarterback commit CJ Carr 150+ spots lower in their national rankings than any other service, though.
Class Composition
Here are the number of signees by position.
QB – 1
RB – 1
WR – 4
TE – 1
OL – 5
DE – 2
DT – 2
LB – 3
CB – 2
S – 2
Running backs Jayden Limar (Oregon), Dylan Edwards (Colorado), and Sedrick Irvin (Stanford), plus offensive tackle Elijah Paige (USC), defensive end Keon Keeley (Alabama), corner Justyn Rhett (Georgia), and safeties Peyton Bowen (Oklahoma) and Brandyn Hillman (Michigan) were all of the decommits from Notre Dame this cycle.
There was also the much-publicized silent verbal from quarterback Dante Moore (Oregon –> UCLA) who officially landed in Westwood, for now.
Quarterback Kenny Minchey (Pitt), wide receiver Kaleb Smith (Texas Tech), offensive lineman Christopher Terek (Wisconsin), and defensive linemen Boubacar Traore (Boston College) and Armel Mukam (Stanford) were flips in favor of the Irish.
Notre Dame had been doing really well in this trade-off in recent cycles and just got hammered the wrong way here for 2023. It’s something you really wouldn’t have expected under Marcus Freeman in terms of his recruiting prowess and likability, although shooting for the stars always comes with extra peril.
To say nothing of losing the no. 2 player nationally (Keeley) and no. 16 player nationally (Bowen) just a look at the schools listed above and you can see it was a tough draw for the Irish.
The Super Official 18 Stripes Class Grades
As a reminder, here’s our standard grading scale for this exercise:
95-100: Truly elite prospect with All-American potential
90-94: Multi-year starter with All-conference level potential
85-89: Eventual starter with chance to play as underclassman
80-84: Raw prospect with decent potential but a couple years away from impact
75-79: Likely a backup
70-74: Reach by the coaching staff
Staff | Offense Grade | Defense Grade | Overall Grade |
---|---|---|---|
Brendan | 88.0 | 88.4 | 88.2 |
Eric | 87.4 | 87.5 | 87.4 |
Tyler | 87.0 | 88.0 | 87.5 |
Overall | 87.5 | 87.9 | 87.7 |
Last year was the first recruiting cycle since we’ve been doing these grades that I wasn’t the curmudgeon with the lowest overall score. All aboard the Freeman hype train! This year, me and Tyler tied for the low-mark, until the late loss of Brandyn Hillman moved my average grade one-tenth below him.
Another slightly sobering fact to discuss is that this 2023 overall class grade is 1.5 points lower than the 2022 cycle that experienced an upheaval at head coach during its final days. Not that our grades really mean that much, predict the future all that well, or that we’re doing deep comparisons to previous cycles during the process, but it’s interesting to note the difference.
I think the 2022 class had a higher floor in comparison. For example, Benjamin Morrison (86.3 grade from 18 Stripes) was the 5th lowest Composite non-specialist from last year’s class and he was a freshman All-American. The 5th lowest Composite for this 2023 class is Sam Pendleton.
Offense Signees
247C | 18S | Player | City/State | Ht/Wt | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.9715 | 93.3 | Charles Jagusah | Rock Island, IL | 6-6, 308 | OT |
0.9634 | 92.3 | Jeremiyah Love | St. Louis, MO | 6-0, 190 | RB |
0.9420 | 92.7 | Braylon James* | Del Valle, TX | 6-2 1/8, 180 | WR |
0.9407 | 93.0 | Jaden Greathouse* | Austin, TX | 6-1, 208 | WR |
0.9323 | 91.7 | Kenny Minchey* | Hendersonville, TN | 6-1 5/8, 215 | QB |
0.9170 | 85.7 | Rico Flores* | Folsom, CA | 6-0 1/8, 197 | WR |
0.9076 | 83.3 | Cooper Flanagan | Concord, CA | 6-5, 228 | TE |
0.9039 | 85.7 | Sullivan Absher | Belmont, NC | 6-5, 309 | OT |
0.8967 | 80.3 | Joe Otting | Topeka, KS | 6-4, 275 | IOL |
0.8933 | 85.7 | Sam Pendleton* | Pfafftown, NC | 6-4 1/8, 300 | IOL |
0.8872 | 80.3 | Christopher Terek | Glen Ellyn, IL | 6-5, 310 | IOL |
0.8836 | 85.7 | Kaleb Smith | Frisco, TX | 6-0, 175 | WR |
Defense Signees
247C | 18S | Player | City/State | Ht/Wt | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.9510 | 93.7 | Christian Gray* | St. Louis, MO | 5-11 3/4, 182 | CB |
0.9495 | 92.3 | Drayk Bowen* | Merrillville, IN | 6-2, 225 | LB |
0.9236 | 91.0 | Brenan Vernon | Mentor, OH | 6-5, 275 | DL |
0.9339 | 85.3 | Jaiden Ausberry* | Baton Rouge, LA | 6-0 1/8, 200 | LB |
0.9112 | 89.7 | Micah Bell | Houston, TX | 5-10, 170 | CB |
0.9183 | 86.3 | Boubacar Traore | West Roxbury, MA | 6-5, 245 | DL |
0.9186 | 83.3 | Devan Houstan* | Sharpsburg, MD | 6-4, 282 | DL |
0.9023 | 89.3 | Adon Shuler* | Irvington, NJ | 5-11 1/2, 190 | S |
0.8991 | 88.0 | Ben Minich* | West Chester, OH | 5-11 7/8, 180 | S |
0.8844 | 84.0 | Preston Zinter* | Lawrence, MA | 6-2, 200 | LB |
0.8839 | 84.3 | Armel Mukam | Woodberry Forest, VA | 6-3 1/2, 255 | DL |
*Starred player heights and weights are from early enrolled freshmen and their und.com roster page, all others are listed from their 247 Sports profiles.
The players that we are a little higher on than the recruiting community would be Kaleb Smith, Adon Shuler, and Ben Minich. The players that we are a little lower on than the consensus include Rico Flores (although he’s looking sharp in spring practice already, but our grades were a function of so many great receivers in this class), Cooper Flanagan, Joe Otting, Christopher Terek, Jaiden Ausberry, and Devan Houstan.
I would like to point out that Harry Hiestand’s last 2 recruiting cycles before leaving Notre Dame (so the 2018 and 2023 classes) included 9 offensive linemen with an average Composite ranking of 415th nationally. That includes the highly touted Jagusah! Hopefully more than 1 player from the 2023 class makes an impact (unlike the 2018 class) but if you’re wondering why it feels like this offensive class as a whole is better than its average you can point the finger at the lower-rated offensive linemen.
Grading Out
Addressing Needs: B-
Heading into this cycle it was wide receiver that received the most headlines as the neediest position on the roster with the staff coming through in a big way for 2023.
Defensive line, safety, and since it’s always a need let’s throw quarterback in there too as the other big needs from this cycle.
The Irish did a good job flipping Minchey from Pitt and that deserves some credit. The defensive line and safety spots have some nice pieces but the lack of high impact young players at both positions leaves a lot to be desired.
Home Run Factor:Â C
This wide receiver class has a chance to be something truly special. There are people who really like Kaleb Smith as the least heralded guy of the bunch and I could accept an argument from anyone that this whole class will end up getting drafted in 3-5 years.
A lot of these players made very small to not-so-small drops in their rankings throughout the cycle. In fact, I can’t remember a class that dropped so hard on an individual basis. I’m not sure there’s another position where you can say Notre Dame hit a homerun but Bowen and Vernon are 2 players I’m betting will have tremendous careers in South Bend and be foundational pieces to this class.
Immediate Impact: B
This is always a hard one because the better the depth chart the harder it is to see the field, and that’s not necessarily a knock on the young freshmen and their talent. As mentioned, we should see some exciting things from the freshmen wideouts this year.
I thought Shuler was going to be someone to watch out for at safety in 2023 but his shoulder surgery complicates that bet.
Bell has blazing speed and could be involved on special teams this year.
As mentioned, Bowen and Vernon could be in the mix. Both are seemingly all-in type of Notre Dame leaders with the size and athleticism to see the field a little bit in 2023.
Class Comments
Recruiting can be such a fickle mistress and I know first hand how easy it can be to become apathetic to Notre Dame’s struggle to climb the mountain in this sport with some of its disadvantages holding itself back, which now includes the new world of NIL.
This has largely been a disappointing endeavor to follow for the Irish since the 1990’s and it appears Marcus Freeman and staff aren’t going to be able to magically turn things around in the world of recruiting in such a short time.
Here’s a blurb from Brendan in this section from last year’s 2022 recruiting review:
I know, we say all the time that next year is the big year. (At heart, we’re apparently all Cubs fans.) This time it feels different though, because of who is running the program and how he has already shown us he intends to run it. Of course having four top 50 level talents in it already inspires confidence too – #22 Keon Keeley, #37 Drayk Bowen, #58 Peyton Bowen, and #101 Justyn Rhett (I’ll eat a shoe if he’s not top 50 by the end of the cycle). Funny how that works.
I mean, it hurts to read it. Keeley, Peyton Bowen, and Rhett aren’t in the class, and Drayk Bowen dropped 68 spots in the national rankings. Also, perhaps Brendan should have to eat 2 shoes because Rhett dropped 272(!) spots in the national rankings. Ha, take that Georgia!
Notre Dame trying to land and/or hold on to top 50 talent.
There isn’t much else to say. This class isn’t what we hoped it would be or that it could be. And still, there will be important players and student-athletes who make an impressive mark in their careers with the Fighting Irish. And while this isn’t the top 3-5 class of our dreams, you never know how many of these recruits are going to play a pivotal role in some fantastic wins for this program.
Prop Bets
Because there’s nothing we can’t connect to gambling, we’ll leave you with the staff’s prop bets on a few key questions about this class.
Who will see the field the soonest?
- Brendan: Jeremiyah Love
- Eric: Jaden Greathouse
- Tyler: Jaden Greathouse
Who has the highest upside?
- Brendan: Kenny Minchey
- Eric: Braylon James
- Tyler: Kenny Minchey
Who’s your favorite offensive player?
- Brendan: Braylon James
- Eric: Jaden Greathouse
- Tyler: Jeremiyah Love
Who’s your favorite defensive player?
- Brendan: Drayk Bowen
- Eric:
Brandyn HillmanChristian Gray - Tyler: Christian Gray
Over the next couple weeks, we’ll publish our individual evaluations for each 2023 recruit so be sure to check that out and offer your opinions on the players in the comment section.
When is the last time we had a recruiting class where we didn’t come away saying, “It’s a good class for depth, but we really need to bring in some difference makers next year.”? Yeah, it’s been a while…and yes, it’s frustrating.
Is Jaylen Sneed a sad joke about how when we actually got a top 50 composite player we couldn’t get him on the field?
Despite Vernon’s fall from grace with ranking sites I think he’s got the length and frame to be a difference maker at DL, like many linemen though I think it’s a year out high school though, so not a candidate for earliest contributor.
There’s nothing unusual about a freshman not getting on the field.
My comment could have been more clear, but I was responding to a couple things from the article under Prop Bets.
Jaylen Sneed is listed as a favorite defensive 2023 recruit, but was a 2022 recruit (the highest rated composite recruit, who nevertheless redshirted). No one selected Vernon as a favorite defensive recruit, but I think we should be excited about his length and frame at DL long term. I stop short of praising Vernon so much that I would expect him to play as a freshman and be in consideration for the seeing the field soonest prop.
I’m pretty sure I picked Christian Gray. I’m guessing something got mixed up with last year’s picks.
That makes sense. Exciting times for the Irish at cornerback, which still feels weird, but Hart and Morrison this year with both Gray and Bell being really exciting freshmen. It’s awesome.
The other systemic problem besides our losing out in the NIL arms race is our transfer rules. Classes in the 5-10 range is one thing, not getting any elite undergrad transfers will be another.
I don’t know if that will change much. Much more likely ND recruits large classes and nudges guys out that aren’t cutting it on the field after a year or two.
Pls Minchey hit big
Realistically, at most only one of Minchey or Carr is going to start more than 6 games at ND. Who ya got?
Starts for the recruited quarterbacks going back a bit, for reference:
Hendrix – 0
Rees – 31
Golson – 25
Kiel – 0
Zaire – 3
Kizer – 23
Wimbush – 15
Book – 35
Jurkovec – 0
Clark – 0
Pyne – 10
Buchner – 3
Angeli – 0
I will amend my overstatement to say it will take something off for both of them to get 6+ starts – looks like it would require one being named the starter over the other, the other staying, and then either a mid-season injury or a coach’s mis-eval leading to a midseason change. I can’t imagine one would stay behind the other for more than one season without transferring, especially in the free-transfer era (which did not apply to most of the above).
If Buchner isn’t at ND much longer, conceivably Minchey could be the Wimbush and start 2024 and play into 2025 and be replaced by Carr playing the role of Book and they both get 15+ starts. Or Carr is just better from the jump in 2025 and Minchey gets 12 before being replaced. That wouldn’t require very much straining to imagine both Minchey+Carr getting to both play somewhat significant amounts.
Long-term projections of which QBs will stay, who is going and who is playing is probably a fruitless exercise. 12 months ago who would have thought in in 2023 it would be Pyne (the long-term ND fan with posters on his wall) leaving way early and Buchner presumably sticking around behind Sam Hartman? That in itself for 2023 is practically unpredictable Mad Libs of a QB arrangement, as they typically do unfold in unforseen ways. Trying to say what will happen from 2024-27, surely anyone’s guess is as good as anyone else’s.
Just wild guessing, but I would probably go Minchey under 6 starts and Carr over as of today 6 starts, simply because Hartman and then Buchner (as of the moment) are blocking Minchey’s first two years and he is staying patient for year 3? Carr has no one blocking his future (yet) and a higher profile, but that probably will change soon enough too.
Baseball nerds like the acronym TNSTAAPP, for there’s no such thing as a pitching prospect.
In other words, pitching prospects are hard to project based on how they perform in the low minors, plus they have a high injury rate. So no point in getting excited about pitching prospects, just wait and see who ends up actually pitching in the majors.
Obviously there’s some hyperbole, but as Hooks says above, it’s really hard to project QBs. Look how bad the NFL does at it.
So whenever anyone tries to project QBs, I’m going to bring up Ian Book, Jack Coan, Drew Pyne, and how TNSTAAQBP.
I dunno, this list is pretty good: https://247sports.com/Season/2025-Football/AllTimeRecruitRankings/?InstitutionGroup=HighSchool&PositionGroup=QB
IMO we should get 5-star QBs and take our chances. Bold, I know, but somebody needs to say it.
That list has a great top 9. After that it’s not particularly impressive. About 1/3 hit rate on the rest of the top QB recruits of the past 20 years.
5 stars are still better than not, don’t think anyone thinks that isn’t the case. But I’d still take the under on 6 games for basically any individual QB commit.
Yeah, I don’t think you’d go broke betting the unders for everyone given the transfer world. (Would be a little worried for ya if that was on the table though 🙂 )
TIL that Buchner had a higher composite score than Deshaun Watson and Jarrett Stidham, each of whom I was under the impression were elite recruits.
Also Demetrius Jones had a higher composite score than Andrew Luck lol
I suppose there is a role for an Irish football writer to document the perceived decline of Notre Dame football with the expectation that the near future provides little hope. My sympathies to such a soul-sucking commitment.
I don’t mean to minimize the glimmer of hope provided for individuals rather than the program and its leadership.
Is it one of our hopes that Freeman besides getting in the door with top 50 kids, can learn to seal the deal? Or have we already given up hope of that? What we heard in Dec. was that this class had a higher % of 4 stars than we had been getting. So is another hope that Freeman can consistently keep us in the top 12, with no 18-20 years, and thus raise the floor for the team? It goes without saying that a hope is he can bring in more and better skill guys (QB, WR, DE ,DB) than the Kelly regime.
Do a couple 10-2 seasons open more doors for ND in recruiting or does it have to be better than that ?
Turns out we got a dynamic recruiter under the old rules right as everyone was just allowed to throw money at recruits. The sooner CFB bifurcates the better.
I think one big positive with this class is its high blue chip ratio (19/23, 82.6%), highest at ND in 10 years. If Freeman can keep recruiting like that, even missing on super-elite recruits won’t sting quite so bad.
One way to keep the blue chip ratio up is to keep taking in kickers as transfers. Then they don’t muck up our BCR with their weird kicker ranking.
Good point and I hope in 2-3 years we look back and see this as a sneaky deep class. Hopefully based on numbers alone that will happen with some of the WR’s and DL to find some hits.
I think this:
and this:
are related.
The expectations going into this class were super high, when we lost Keeley and Bowen, and Moore didn’t commit when we all heard it was a silent verbal, as fans, what else do we do than shift our expectations into negative territory. Of course your class grade is lower than last year, because your expectations on outcome was much higher than last year. The fact that it is only 1.5 points lower tells me there is a tremendous amount of talent in this class.
Freeman is raising the floor, just not as fast as we hoped.
Well at least with Charles, unlike these other shiny recruits that left the lot with other buyers, the Jagusah was the Jag you got.
I am sad it won’t let me up vote and down vote the same comment.