Last week I took a look at the new head coaches across the country with some intriguing beginnings across campuses everywhere. Now, I’m turning my attention to the coaches who could be leaving campuses very soon. Let’s queue up the hot rankings…

School – Name – Seasons with School – Record

15) Tulsa – Phil Montgomery – 3 Seasons – 18-20

Mongtomery absolutely shouldn’t be on this list. He came to the Golden Hurricane from the Houston/Baylor pipeline under the direction of Art Briles and was bringing a high octane offense full of fireworks. It was a bit of a rocky start but he did win 10 games in 2016 while averaging 40 points overall for both 2015-16 campaigns.

Last year, things fell off a cliff. The Tulsa team FEI dropped by a staggering 57 spots in the rankings and the offense scored just over 29 per game. The Golden Hurricane have been very competitive in many losses so that’s why Montgomery shouldn’t be on too much of a hot seat. But still, another awful season would be a bad trend.

14) Boston College – Steve Addazio – 6 Seasons – 31-33

Things have leveled off for Addazio in Chestnut Hill which for a place like Boston College isn’t by itself going to make his seat too hot. He’s surrounded a 3-9 in 2015 with 7-6 seasons in each of his 5 other years with the Eagles. So yay, consistency!

Despite the same 7-6 season, Boston College did look and feel a lot better last year. In fact, they jumped 49 spots in the FEI rankings and actually found a pulse on offense. However, Addazio just turned 61 and his time looks to be running out in a natural cycle of the sport. After 2018, he’ll have 2 years remaining on a contract with roughly $5 million owed.

13) LSU – Ed Orgeron – 1.5 Seasons – 15-6

Many would put Gus Malzahn somewhere on this list due to the high standards at Auburn. They did beat both of the teams from the National Championship game, though. Ed Orgeron is in a similar boat although through a far shorter tenure than Malzahn. His overall numbers are fine if a little disappointing.

It never felt like Ed O was going to last that long in Baton Rouge and a season of at least 4 losses could see him get the ax. His buyout also drops significantly to $8 million following 2018 and would provide an easier pill to swallow for the LSU administration.

12) Texas State – Everett Withers – 2 Seasons – 4-20

Withers spent one season overseeing the mess at North Carolina following their academic scandal then later moved to 2 successful seasons (18-7) at James Madison. He’s been super bad at Texas State, though. The Bobcats have only one win in the Sun Belt under Withers and were No. 118 in the FEI rankings last year.

11) Georgia Tech – Paul Johnson – 11 Seasons – 75-54

Paul Johnson won an Orange Bowl with Georgia Tech in 2014 and somehow that feels like a decade ago. He’s now been with the Yellow Jackets twice as long as he was at Navy and is currently tied for the 12th longest tenured coach at a school. This is a really long time for a Power 5 school with some decent history to play triple option football.

What’s crazy is that Johnson just signed a 2-year extension bringing him through the 2022 season. In that light he’s nowhere near the hot seat in the eyes of the Georgia Tech administration. For someone 9-15 in ACC play since 2015 and 19 total losses in that same time period shouldn’t his seat be a tad warm?

10) East Carolina – Scottie Montgomery – 2 Seasons – 6-18

The firing of Ruffin McNeill wasn’t very popular in any corner of the country as far as I could remember. His successor was a former player and coach at Duke then just 38 years old.

McNeill found some quality success and somehow Scottie Montgomery has been a complete disaster so far. He’s an offensive guy which is fine but the Pirates were dead last in national defensive scoring allowing 45 points per game in 2017. That’d not a good way to keep a job!

9) Maryland – D.J. Durkin – 2 Seasons – 10-15

If the Scottie Montgomery hire was met with groans the opposite happened for Durkin who was viewed as one of the country’s best young defensive minds when hired by Maryland. He’s had a pretty rocky start with the Terps so far including giving up 37.1 per game in 2017 with 5 blowout losses.

Durkin signed a $12.5 million deal in 2016 so in the event he needs to be fired after 2018 the bill won’t be too crazy.

8) UNLV – Tony Sanchez – 3 Seasons – 12-24

Once upon a time, Sanchez had it all in the high school football world. As head coach of the uber-wealthy Bishop Gorman school in Vegas he was 85-5 with the Gaels in 6 seasons. Leaving that behind for basement-dwelling UNLV was a curious choice.

Granted, the bar is very low for the Rebels and he’s increased his conference wins each year from 2, to 3, to 4 so far. You’d think it will be hard for UNLV to cut ties with someone with so many local ties and yet he really hasn’t lived up to any small amount of hype.

7) Miami (OH) – Chuck Martin – 4 Seasons – 16-33

Our old friend Chuck is on the list partially to irk 18S writer Jim Miesle. If you’re looking at things positively, Martin was appearing like he’d breakthrough at Miami a couple years ago. It didn’t happen, though. Despite that, they’ve lost 14 games over the last 2 seasons and seem entirely stuck as a middling MAC program.

The history in these situations are pretty clear for MAC coaches. The successful ones rise and they rise quickly. Martin is heading into his 5th season and would need something close to a conference title to give their program confidence he should stick around.

6) Bowling Green – Mike Jinks – 2 Seasons – 6-18

The hire of Jinks was pretty underwhelming even for MAC standards. He had a long history in Texas high school football before becoming a running backs coach with Texas Tech for a few seasons. Just an all-around weird fit for someone to get their first gig up north in Ohio.

Oftentimes, these MAC coaches are rebuilding a deteriorated program but in Jinks’ case he took over after the Falcons had gone 36-19 over the preceding 4 seasons, including a pair of 10-win seasons. He back-tracked in 2017 to a 2-10 record and has placed FEI rankings of 108th and 111th so far in his tenure.

5) North Carolina – Larry Fedora – 6 Seasons – 43-34

One really bad season in Chapel Hill has Fedora squarely on the hot seat. To be fair, he did go 19-8 (13-3 in ACC play) for 2015-16 but only faced 5 ranked teams during that span, losing 4 times. Outside of 2015, the Heels have largely been a .500 team across the board.

North Carolina may regret giving Fedora a 7-year extension through 2022, though. He’ll soon be making upwards of $2.5 million per year so after this fall there will still be roughly $10 million remaining on his deal.

4) Ball State – Mike Neu – 2 Seasons – 6-18

Ball State hired their former MAC Player of the Year from 1993 which sounds good, but he’s had a pretty odd travel through the coaching ranks. Neu spent a decade in the Arena Football League before becoming a QB coach for Tulane in 2012 and then for the NFL Saints in 2015.

Neu was hired from the Saints and took over a program that had fallen apart under the once-desired Pete Lembo. However, the Cardinals went from 4-8 in 2016 to 2-10 and win-less in the MAC last year. According to FEI they were the 6th worst team in college football in 2017.

3) Vanderbilt – Derek Mason – 4 Seasons – 18-31

Mason used to have a much higher stock as this was a pretty popular hire for the Commodores. There have been some bright spots recently, including wins over Georgia, Kansas State, Western Kentucky, Ole Miss, and Tennessee twice. Prior to 2017, it seemed like he was ever-so-slowly improving with FEI rankings climbing from 115th, to 83rd, and then 61st.

Then, Vanderbilt slid back to 91st in FEI and had their worst SEC record since Mason’s first year. Yet again, we have another coach on my hot seat who was given a recent extension–this time following 2016 and extends through 2022. It’s hard to win in Nashville but 7 wins against Power 5 teams through 4 seasons at a hefty SEC $2.5 million per year isn’t great business.

2) Texas Tech – Kliff Kingsbury – 5 Seasons – 30-33

On and off the field there was no hotter coach in the country back in the beginning half of 2013 when Kingsbury started out 7-0 while rising to No. 10 in the country. Since then, he’s won .410% of his games. The Red Raiders have also yet to have even a .500 season in the Big 12 through Kingsbury’s 5 seasons.

He makes $3.5 million per year with a reported buyout of $7 million and 3 full seasons remaining on the contract. With a poor 2018 Kingsburg is almost certainly gone.

1) UMass – Mark Whipple – 4 Seasons – 12-36

This almost isn’t fair. Technically, Whipple has coached 10 seasons at UMass broken up by an 11-year break while at other places. During his first stint, when the Minutemen were in 1-AA, he won a National Title and .653% of his games. Since returning to the school now at the FBS level it’s been a mess.

Want to know what happened this off-season? UMASS EXTENDED WHIPPLE THROUGH 2020. Granted, that’s not even really an extension in today’s modern college football. And Whipple makes less than $500,000 in compensation. His buyout is probably atrocious so I guess it doesn’t matter all that much to the UMass administration even if they basically make no money from their football program.