We don’t have a whole lot going on in the Big 12 this weekend but some important games are taking place in the other 3 power conferences. We’ll also see Boise State put to the test on Friday in a game that could be a bit tricky.

First, a quick look at last week’s bets:

2024 Betting Record

ATS: 34-41-1
SU: 48-28-0

I was one game under .500 against the spread for week 9 but a more solid 6-3-0 straight up. Some of my upset picks continue to fail. I thought the Indiana fun story was over, and it was not. I thought Pitt would falter and not enjoy a trio of pick sixes. I know better than to trust Brian Kelly in a big game, but didn’t listen.

Week 10 Games to Watch

All times are Eastern. Rankings are from the AP Poll.

Friday Games

San Diego State [+23.5] at #15 Boise State
8:00 PM, FS1

San Diego State is somehow still unbeaten in conference play. I added this game for the weekend to offer something on Friday. The Aztecs are struggling (104th in FEI) and shouldn’t be competitive here but I’m curious to see how Boise State performs with the playoffs continually dangled in front of them.

Boise State 53
San Diego State 23

Saturday Games

#4 Ohio State [-3.5] at #3 Penn State
12:00 PM, Fox

The latest updates in Happy Valley have quarterback Drew Allar as a game time decision. This line hasn’t moved all week, by the way. Even if he came in completely healthy I wasn’t picking Penn State. I think the Buckeyes come in with a convincing victory and the Nittany Lions could have their season go a little sideways down the stretch.

Ohio State 31
Penn State 16

Duke [+21.5] at #5 Miami
12:00 PM, ABC

Consider me completely puzzled by this massive spread and it’s been growing all week, too. Duke is a solid team with some dangerous weapons. I’ve been terrible at picking outright upsets this year and I’m not doing it here. Still, this Noon kickoff has all the signs of a tough struggle for Miami.

Miami 37
Duke 28

#1 Oregon [-14.5] at Michigan
3:30 PM, CBS

I would think Oregon’s offense is just too good to allow Michigan to keep this close for a scare. I will be screaming if the Ducks blow this. Don’t do that.

Just win, baby. 

Oregon 30
Michigan 17

Florida [+16.5] vs. #2 Georgia (Jacksonville, FL)
3:30 PM, ABC

Florida is coming off a bye and while it seems like they’ve faded from the national picture their season hasn’t been quite as terrible as their first game against Miami suggested. Georgia has to take care of business here and nothing more. I’m expecting a close game for a while.

Georgia 29
Florida 16

#10 Texas A&M [-2.5] at South Carolina
7:30 PM, ABC

Our writer’s room on Slack were discussing this during the week as Texas A&M comes off a huge victory over LSU and looks poised to play in the SEC Championship. Beware! Barely favorites going into South Carolina has bettors thinking about a massive let down.

Texas A&M 24
South Carolina 23

Louisville [+10.5] at #11 Clemson
7:30 PM, ESPN

Louisville still has an outside shot at winning the ACC and obviously they have to win this weekend and take down Clemson. Remember that opener against Georgia? Dabo Swinney is like a cockroach and he’s seemingly never going to die. Clemson has been looking really strong this season and I’m not convinced Louisville is anything more than a pretty decent team with moments of great play but still way too inconsistent and lacking in talent overall.

When will they really fall off?

Clemson 40
Louisville 21

#18 Pittsburgh [+7.5] at #20 SMU
8:00 PM, ACC Network

This is a big game as neither team has lost in the ACC. I know it’s Pittsburgh and everything–I’m still a little surprised this line wasn’t closer to 3 or 4 at the most. Neither of these programs are exactly bluebloods with a strong track record of success. I do like the Mustangs at home, but barely.

SMU 47
Pittsburgh 43