Advanced Stats Review: Navy

The Irish checked all the boxes for a perfect game against Navy - scoring every possession early, forcing turnovers and passing downs, and limiting first down yardage. Second-half garbage time stats obscure in the final box score what was an incredibly dominant performance by Notre Dame against a Navy team that's still competing for the [...]

By |2019-11-21T08:51:39-05:00November 21st, 2019|Football|0 Comments

Week 12 Win Probability Matrix Update

Well... That was fun. Remember that all advanced stats models include adjustments for garbage time, which is defined differently in each model but basically means being up by enough that both teams will change the way they're playing; by any definition, Notre Dame reached garbage time before the half against Navy. What the Irish did [...]

By |2019-11-18T11:03:25-05:00November 18th, 2019|Football|13 Comments

18S Top 20 Poll: When Tigers Attack

LSU toppled Alabama in Tuscaloosa in a thrilling offensive fireworks display that potentially blocks the Crimson Tide from making the College Football Playoff. Well, maybe. Elsewhere, Minnesota held on at home against Penn State to remain undefeated and now legitimately becomes part of the playoff conversation themselves, although their schedule continues to stiffen as we [...]

By |2019-11-13T10:45:18-05:00November 13th, 2019|Football|3 Comments

Week 11 Win Probability Matrix Update

Credit to the Irish for rebounding with a huge win over a mid-level opponent - the mistakes that plagued them against Virginia Tech were largely eliminated against Duke, and accordingly the Duke game went the way the Virginia Tech game should've. That was the first truly stress-free performance for Notre Dame in five weeks, and [...]

By |2019-11-11T11:23:48-05:00November 11th, 2019|Football|5 Comments

Notre Dame Football: Freshmen Redshirt Update

With just a handful of games remaining in the 2019 season (my goodness does every single college football year fly by or what?) we have a clear picture on the use of the current Notre Dame freshmen and how that will affect the roster shape in the next couple campaigns. As we'll discuss below, something [...]

By |2019-11-08T09:30:13-05:00November 8th, 2019|Football, Recruiting|2 Comments

Duke Preview: Into the Devil’s Den in Durham

When Charlie Weis became Notre Dame head coach in late-2004, he hired David Cutcliffe as his first offensive coordinator. Cutcliffe had just been fired by Ole Miss after his only losing season in Oxford, a mistake the Rebels would come to regret. However, Cutcliffe suffered a heart attack just before fall camp in 2005 and [...]

By |2019-11-08T09:58:01-05:00November 8th, 2019|18S Reads, Football|8 Comments

Playoff Big Board: Week 11

This is the first week for the official College Football Playoff committee rankings. Hey, SMU and Appalachian State have been cruising - let's discuss the probability that a Group of 5 team will finally make it into the playoff! The final two G5 undefeateds fell this weekend, so that was fun while it lasted. Possible [...]

By |2019-11-06T17:05:18-05:00November 6th, 2019|Football|3 Comments

18S Top 20 Poll: The Calm Before the Storm

With 6 out of our top 11 experiencing idleness things were quiet in week 10. Not so much this weekend as a pair of games will feature undefeated teams sure to reset the national playoff picture. We're recapping the week that was before looking ahead to major events in Tuscaloosa and Minneapolis. This Week's Biggest [...]

By |2019-11-06T20:36:36-05:00November 6th, 2019|Football|5 Comments

Advanced Stats Review: Virginia Tech

Notre Dame dominated the Hokies in the most important categories that decide games, but the Irish shot themselves in the foot in all of the less predictable and more random facets of the game. Turnovers and special teams blunders that cost valuable field position nearly led to a horrendous loss reminiscent of South Florida loss [...]

By |2019-11-05T16:27:33-05:00November 5th, 2019|Football|6 Comments

Virginia Tech Review: The Home Winning Streak (Barely) Survives

It didn't need to be close but it was far too close for comfort on Saturday afternoon as Notre Dame escaped an upset attempt from Virginia Tech. With just a few minutes remaining, the Irish drove 18 plays for a game-winning touchdown in a matchup that featured several patented upset-special check marks along the way. [...]

By |2019-11-02T23:56:42-04:00November 2nd, 2019|Football|86 Comments
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