2021 Week 2 Win Probability Matrix Update

Well folks, it's time to bring back the advanced stats win probability matrices. I know you missed perusing these rainbow-colored Excel graphics and agonizing (?) over decimal point changes, didn't want you to miss out on all that fun as the new season gets going. This is going to be an interesting year for comparisons [...]

By |2021-09-10T13:05:42-04:00September 10th, 2021|Football|14 Comments

9/9/2021: The Day Notre Dame Football Got Weird(er)

We generally only do impromptu posts here for breaking news - usually a quick blurb about whatever development it was, so we both respond in short order and give you all somewhere to chat about it. Well, today we had to start over about fifteen times because news kept breaking. It seems like the last [...]

By |2021-09-09T17:13:35-04:00September 9th, 2021|Football|17 Comments

Advanced Stats Review: FSU

Notre Dame was dominating the efficiency game through 40 minutes, with Florida State surviving on a few massive plays. Then the strategy shifted, the Noles started putting long drives together, and suddenly the Irish were in a coin flip game. Below let's dive into the good (Jack Coan's debut and the passing game), the bad [...]

By |2021-09-08T09:58:47-04:00September 8th, 2021|Football|13 Comments

18S G5 Top 10: Meep Meep

Welcome back to the 18Stripes G5 Top 10. This weekend's games showed how fun and chaotic this great and dumb sport can be. However, even with G5 shakeups, the Top Ten doesn't see many changes from the pre-season. Also Considered: UAB, Ball State, San Jose State, Memphis, Marshall Week 1 Recap Movers and Shakers Starting [...]

By |2021-09-07T12:54:28-04:00September 6th, 2021|Football|4 Comments

Florida State Review: Not This Time, Mickey

Things were a little nervy early on, then they stabilized in favor of Notre Dame, then things simply fell apart especially on defense. Somehow, the Fighting Irish overcame a brewing Disney movie to survive pesky Florida State in overtime following a Jonathan Doerer dagger from 41 yards out. Winning is better than losing, if that's [...]

By |2021-09-06T11:30:22-04:00September 6th, 2021|Football|91 Comments

No More Sundays, Please: Florida State Instant Reaction

Well, I've seen enough of the Sunday night opening games to last my entire life. Five years ago was the Texas disaster, and this one came darn close to being just as soul-crushing. Notre Dame did somehow survive the opener tonight to defeat Florida State and its overwhelming karma boost from McKenzie Milton, 41-38, in [...]

By |2021-09-06T00:33:18-04:00September 6th, 2021|18S Reads, Football|35 Comments

Florida State Preview: It’s Sunday Night Football

We're back in the football mindset opening up the 2021 campaign and heading back to Tallahassee for the first time since *that flag* denied Notre Dame a justified win over then No. 2 Florida State. Since then, Notre Dame has taken both of the meetings at home by a combined score of 84-39, although the [...]

By |2021-09-03T07:52:48-04:00September 3rd, 2021|Football|20 Comments

PRESEASON POWER RATINGS (BK-Today)

This is not a rating of the power of different teams issued in the preseason.  Rather, this is a Power Rating of Preseasons.  Notre Dame preseasons, in fact.  The ground rules: “Preseason” does not mean “Offseason.”  It refers, specifically, to the August anticipatory period between practice beginning and the kick-off of the season. There are three factors that determine [...]

By |2021-09-02T07:39:20-04:00September 2nd, 2021|Football|17 Comments

The 18 Stripes Pre-Season Top 20 Poll: When Does This Get Cyclical?

Most of the time polls are either super fun to put together or they are a complete slog, there's rarely an in between. I started putting this poll together in mid-July full of verve and confidence and as we entered August those doubts started creeping into my head. This team is overrated, that team isn't [...]

By |2021-08-29T21:54:31-04:00August 31st, 2021|Football|41 Comments

18 Stripes G5 Top 10: The Starkel Difference Between Week 0 and Week 1

Welcome back to the 18Stripes G5 Top 10. After a fun little set of games on Saturday we know have games from Wednesday to Monday in the college football world. The Top 10 from last week has not changed but here is the list from last week. Also Considered: Ball State, San Jose State, Memphis, [...]

By |2021-08-30T00:53:47-04:00August 30th, 2021|Football|2 Comments

Predicting Yards Per Play Differential for 2021

This is my 4th year attempting to predict Notre Dame football's yards-per-play differential for the season. In an era where we are flooded with advanced stats and metrics this is the one traditional number that I find still has enough correlation and sway to make sense of this game we all love. Before we get [...]

By |2021-08-27T09:36:40-04:00August 28th, 2021|Football|3 Comments
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