2020 Week 7 Win Probability Matrix Update

Blowing out a mediocre-to-bad team is a good thing! But not as good as you might imagine, apparently. FPI absolutely loved Notre Dame's performance against Pitt, while SP+ somehow viewed it as decidedly meh. Weird, but we'll get into it. Recapping the methodology for these articles: These aren't actual SP+ win probabilities, as SP+ creator [...]

By |2020-10-27T16:18:46-04:00October 27th, 2020|Football|10 Comments

Reimagining National Titles with Playoffs: 1993*

Yes, this isn't a National Championship season for Notre Dame in an official sense. But it could've been and maybe should've been depending upon whom you ask. For certain, 1993 was an unexpected success for Notre Dame but ended in frustration and agony for a season of ultimate what-could-have-been regrets. Let's rearrange things for a [...]

By |2020-10-26T22:03:16-04:00October 26th, 2020|Football|1 Comment

Pitt Preview: Charging?

Pitt Football always seems to find themselves in these types of situations. Even if you take away the games in South Bend in 2018 and 2012, Pitt always seems to find itself as the scrappy unranked underdog in these top ten matchups. Being the only team to knock off Clemson in 2016, giving #2 ranked [...]

By |2020-10-22T21:49:23-04:00October 23rd, 2020|Football|9 Comments

18S Top 20 Poll: You Can’t Keep Nick Saban Down

Alabama wins a mini-Game of the Century, Clemson sets ACC records, and North Carolina's comeback fell short against a resurgent Florida State team. These are the highlights from this past week of college football where we now have a new No. 1 team in our 18 Stripes poll. Note: We are only including teams who [...]

By |2020-10-20T21:49:03-04:00October 21st, 2020|Football|10 Comments

2020 Week 6 Win Probability Matrix Update

Notre Dame's lackluster output against Louisville had much less of an effect in the advanced stats models than it did in our psyches - with one very notable suggestion, which we'll get into below. While the game was certainly a frustrating one for the fans, as far as the models are concerned things went non-catastrophically. [...]

By |2020-10-20T15:22:45-04:00October 20th, 2020|Football|15 Comments

How Did This Happen, Volume 2: Notre Dame’s Last 0-0 Tie

A shutout on offense is pretty rare for major college football programs. It's happened 75 times over the course of Notre Dame history, or 5.7% of total games played. However, only 26 of those games have come in the AP Poll era. Brian Kelly has never been shutout as head coach of the Irish and [...]

By |2020-10-19T21:56:18-04:00October 19th, 2020|Football|8 Comments

Louisville Review: That’s a Strange Day at the Office

Let me be completely honest. In the run-up to this game I was seriously considering picking Louisville in an upset or at least a really, really close game. Why? We felt due for a super weird game, Louisville can punch above their weight (especially offensively), and, well, college football brings us these things from time [...]

By |2020-10-18T10:03:47-04:00October 18th, 2020|Football|71 Comments

A Win Is a Win?: Louisville Instant Reaction

Notre Dame won a game Saturday against Louisville, 12-7. At least, I think they won. It can be hard to see sometimes on a day where Clemson - the one measure of this season - utterly blowtorched Georgia Tech 73-7 and invited some (more) pessimistic thoughts about whether the Irish can hang in when the [...]

By |2020-10-17T18:18:48-04:00October 17th, 2020|18S Reads, Football|19 Comments

Louisville Preview: Got Those Second Year Blues

Life comes at you fast. A quick turnaround from 2-10 to 8-5 in Scott Satterfield's 1st season with the Cardinals brought with it heightened expectations for Louisville in 2020. Thus far, this fall has been more of a nightmare for the Cardinals than climbing up the ACC power rankings. They opened their season with a [...]

By |2020-10-15T11:57:18-04:00October 15th, 2020|Football|3 Comments

18S Top 20 Poll: The ‘I Know Clemson is Good’ Rankings

Miami didn't show up and was drilled by Clemson, Alabama's defense nearly overshadowed their dominant offense in a bad way, Georgia clamped down late, and Florida let things slip away in College Station were just some of the highlights from this past weekend. It looks like we have a top tier of 3 teams with [...]

By |2020-10-14T10:33:42-04:00October 14th, 2020|Football|3 Comments

Advanced Stats Review: FSU

The Irish nearly matched their offensive efficiency against USF versus a far more talented opponent and threw in more explosive plays for good measure. Defensively, the effects of a two-week lull were far more visible as Clark Lea's typically steady unit was boom (with havoc and three-and-outs) and bust (giving up chunk plays).  Confused? Check [...]

By |2020-10-12T22:21:04-04:00October 13th, 2020|Football|3 Comments
Go to Top